Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables business outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and likewise reduced its expected sales volumes, sending out the business's share price down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has actually developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had anticipated given that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' list prices have actually been adversely affected by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel cost throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not reduced and renewable product market value premiums have stayed weak," the business included.


Industry executives and analysts have actually stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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